NL Central Starting Rotation xFIPs

Even without A.J. Burnett, the Pirates starting rotation stands up pretty well with their National League Central Division Rivals. Here are the 2013 xFIPs – as starters – of the 25 pitchers currently penciled into the rotations of the five NL Central Teams:


Francisco Liriano: 3.12

Gerrit Cole: 3.14

Charlie Morton: 3.69

Wandy Rodriguez: 4.00

Edinson Volquez: 4.06



Johnny Cueto: 3.23

Homer Bailey: 3.34

Tony Cingrani: 3.48

Mat Latos: 3.56

Mike Leake: 3.91



Adam Wainwright: 2.80

Lance Lynn: 3.66

Shelby Miller: 3.73

Michael Wacha: 3.78

Joe Kelly: 4.43



Marco Estrada: 3.63

Matt Garza: 3.73

Yovani Gallardo: 3.74

Kyle Lohse: 4.03

Tyler Thornburg: 4.11



Jeff Samardzija: 3.45

Edwin Jackson: 3.86

Travis Wood: 4.50

Jake Arrieta: 4.61

Jason Hammel: 4.64



120 thoughts on “NL Central Starting Rotation xFIPs

  1. We all hope Wandy can pitch this season because I’m not convinced he is going to pitch a full season for us or even at all. Then we have to have Volquez turns things around with help from Searage and our shifting defense. I think Volquez can be a league average pitcher but that doesn’t give any war value there. Hopefully Locke can give us a 1 plus war value when he has to take Wandy’s spot and when Tailion comes up, he can be effective enough to give us some more value. If not, our 4 and 5 spots are a little shaky. I think our top 3 are very solid and will compete with everyone in the division no problem.

    • I’m just hoping Wandy can give us a solid 2-3 months. I expect him to be replaced by Tailion mid season. I don’t expect to see Locke in the rotation, unless Volquez doesn’t work out or injuries arise. A rotation of Cole, Liriano, Morton, Wandy/Tailion, and Volquez is OK but worries me. It requires reliance on young arms (Cole/Tailion), reliance on inconsistent starters (Liriano, Volquez), and reliance on pitchers with significant recent injury history (Morton/Wandy).

  2. Richard…I posted something similar to this on the PBC Asylum. I was ‘spurred’ on by Bob’s post.

    Btw, good to see the AJ Lynch mob out in full force today.

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